Comparison
Compare two economies
The same normalisation scales and weights are applied to both countries, so differences in the score reflect differences in the data — not in the method.
🇺🇸 United States
11.1/ 100 · Very Low risk
- Inflation 30% weightsub-score 6 → +1.9 pts
- Unemployment 25% weightsub-score 7 → +1.8 pts
- GDP Growth 20% weightsub-score 32 → +6.4 pts
- Interest Rate 15% weightsub-score 7 → +1.1 pts
- GDP per Capita 10% weight · structuralsub-score 0 → +0.0 pts
🇨🇳 China
13.5/ 100 · Very Low risk
- Inflation 30% weightsub-score 13 → +3.9 pts
- Unemployment 25% weightsub-score 10 → +2.4 pts
- GDP Growth 20% weightsub-score 9 → +1.7 pts
- Interest Rate 15% weightsub-score 10 → +1.5 pts
- GDP per Capita 10% weight · structuralsub-score 40 → +4.0 pts
Indicator by indicator
| Indicator | 🇺🇸 United States | 🇨🇳 China | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inflation2024 vs 2025 | 2.9% | 0.1% | +2.9 pp |
| Unemployment2025 vs 2025 | 4.2% | 4.6% | -0.4 pp |
| GDP Growth2025 vs 2025 | 2.2% | 5.0% | -2.8 pp |
| Interest RateJul 2026 vs 2024 | 3.63% | 4.35% | -0.72 pp |
| GDP per Capita2025 vs 2025 · structural | $90,027 | $13,862 | +$76,165 |
History and forecast path
🇺🇸 United States — Inflation (headline CPI)
Actual data Independent Model Forecast Forecast range
🇨🇳 China — Inflation (headline CPI)
Actual data Independent Model Forecast Forecast range